trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +169.1% | +143.5% | 33% | 33% | -34.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +160.8% | +136.0% | 35% | 35% | -34.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +160.8% | +136.0% | 35% | 35% | -34.8% |
| all | 20 | +160.8% | +136.0% | 35% | 35% | -34.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +136.0% | 35% | -34.8% |
| 10% | +113.4% | 35% | -41.0% |
| 15% | +92.8% | 35% | -46.7% |
| 20% | +73.9% | 25% | -51.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 42¢ | 40¢ | $197 | $185 | −$12 (-6%) |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $25 | $28 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 13¢ | $25 | $27 | +$3 (+11%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $25 | $23 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $157 | +$78 | +50% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $258 | −$255 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $25 | +$197 | +779% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $35 | −$8 | -22% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $276 | +$287 | +104% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $49 | +$34 | +70% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $70 | −$69 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $296 | +$161 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$96 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $124 | −$121 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$69 | +272% |