Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:49:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53fc…88ef
crypto · 464 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$423 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$423
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses171 / 293
Open positions1
Markets (closed)464 / 464
History coverage15d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day160.6
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 464 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$254
7 days+$193
14 days+$454
30 days+$423
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 44¢ 32¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 50¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$448
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 +29.8% +17.4% 41% 28% -5.9%
≤30d 464 +14.0% +3.1% 37% 26% -7.9%
≤90d 464 +14.0% +3.1% 37% 26% -7.9%
all 464 +14.0% +3.1% 37% 26% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.1% 26% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -6.8% 17% -16.7%
15% -15.8% 12% -24.8%
20% -24.0% 8% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.25 · official $10.05 · 3500 history records