Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53fe…5b95
crypto · 1129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,771 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,766 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,766
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses614 / 514
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1128 / 1129
History coverage214d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$452
sports 23% −$384
weather 13% −$939
other 0% +$1
world 0% +$2
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 58% -9.4%
≤30d 373 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 58% -9.4%
≤90d 1074 -8.5% -17.2% 55% 54% -18.1%
all 1128 -8.9% -17.6% 54% 53% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 53% -24.6%
10% -25.4% 51% -31.8%
15% -32.6% 43% -38.4%
20% -39.2% 35% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.06 · official $4.50 · 2937 history records