Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53ff…e8fb
crypto · 368 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$199 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses156 / 212
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage4d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day510.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$199
14 days−$199
30 days−$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$199
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 +2.3% -7.4% 42% 18% -11.1%
≤30d 368 +2.3% -7.4% 42% 18% -11.1%
≤90d 368 +2.3% -7.4% 42% 18% -11.1%
all 368 +2.3% -7.4% 42% 18% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover510.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 18% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 9% -19.6%
15% -24.4% 6% -27.3%
20% -31.8% 4% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2415 history records