trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 43% | 43% | +4.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 43% | 43% | +4.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 43% | 43% | +4.5% |
| all | 29 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 48% | 38% | -2.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 38% | -2.6% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 24% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 24% | -20.5% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 17% | -28.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $60 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $20 | +$26 | +129% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $20 | +$53 | +258% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$8 | +16% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $50 | +$20 | +40% |
| Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$52 | +51% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$76 | +250% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $124 | −$27 | -22% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $50 | +$10 | +19% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$63 | +124% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 06 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 05 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will England win the 2024 Euros? | Mar 03 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Jul 19 | $19 | +$3 | +15% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Dec 22 | $11 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | Dec 22 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League? | Jun 02 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | -0% |