Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T05:11:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
54 0x5404…f1b7 crypto 58 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate54%31W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day59.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$60
other 11% +$35
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +9.9% -0.6% 54% 46% -10.7%
≤30d 57 +9.9% -0.6% 54% 46% -10.7%
≤90d 57 +9.9% -0.6% 54% 46% -10.7%
all 57 +9.9% -0.6% 54% 46% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 46% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.1% 33% -19.3%
15% -18.8% 25% -27.1%
20% -26.7% 19% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$22 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses31 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 57 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 19 $24 +$14 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $28 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +14%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? Jun 18 $69 −$39 -56%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? Jun 18 $20 +$13 +63%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 2 - 1 Colombia? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -99%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia? Jun 18 $10 +$26 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$15 -28%
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? Jun 17 $46 +$42 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$6 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $410 −$404 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $281 +$136 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $212 +$80 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $153 +$46 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $126 −$14 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$100 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $88 +$23 +26%
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 $0 -4%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 17 $1 $0 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? BUY Yes 96¢ $39 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? SELL Yes 78¢ $30 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? BUY Yes 77¢ $30 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? SELL Yes 50¢ $33 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? BUY Yes 30¢ $20 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 2 - 1 Colombia? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 2 - 1 Colombia? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia? SELL Yes 33¢ $36 25h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $10 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $4 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 193 history records