Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5422…13b9
crypto · 91 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$68 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses31 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day144.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$7 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $40 −$16 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -15.4% -23.4% 34% 11% -15.4%
≤30d 91 -15.4% -23.4% 34% 11% -15.4%
≤90d 91 -15.4% -23.4% 34% 11% -15.4%
all 91 -15.4% -23.4% 34% 11% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 11% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 8% -23.5%
15% -37.4% 4% -30.9%
20% -43.6% 4% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 479 history records