Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5452…d448
other · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$172,892 +107%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42,636 · open +$3,599
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62,863
Realized+$42,636
Unrealized+$3,599
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses67 / 333
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions128
Markets (closed)400 / 87
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1,854
Trades / day667.5
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit5%
Chart Positions 128 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,013
7 days+$42,636
14 days+$42,636
30 days+$42,636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 91¢ 93¢ $19,655 $19,989 +$334 (+2%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $748 $5,688 +$4,939 (+660%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 78¢ $3,200 $3,140 −$60 (-2%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $755 $2,780 +$2,025 (+268%)
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $950 $2,471 +$1,521 (+160%)
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1,348 $2,427 +$1,079 (+80%)
Will Tunisia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 98¢ $1,979 $1,998 +$19 (+1%)
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $830 $1,892 +$1,062 (+128%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $423 $1,639 +$1,217 (+288%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $894 $1,466 +$572 (+64%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 78¢ $1,244 $1,268 +$24 (+2%)
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 80¢ 79¢ $1,235 $1,227 −$8 (-1%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 14¢ $88 $947 +$860 (+980%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $785 $796 +$11 (+1%)
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 30¢ $735 $762 +$28 (+4%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $500 $750 +$250 (+50%)
Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1,226 $736 −$490 (-40%)
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? No 67¢ 69¢ $670 $695 +$25 (+4%)
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup? Yes 54¢ 56¢ $602 $629 +$27 (+4%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $234 $486 +$252 (+108%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $456 $477 +$21 (+5%)
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $874 $454 −$420 (-48%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 38¢ $392 $445 +$53 (+14%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $630 $420 −$210 (-33%)
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $492 $354 −$138 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Ma Jun 12 $50 −$12 -23%
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? Jun 12 $43 −$44 -102%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $188 +$220 +117%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? Jun 12 $34 +$525 +1557%
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $11 +$323 +2908%
Will James Clinton Schoonmaker (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Oly Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Martino Carollo (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026 Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Bulgaria win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Podulsky/Allan (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Alexander Albon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Jun 12 $29 −$29 -101%
Will Jesper Nelin (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: B Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented Jun 12 $50 −$42 -83%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Ma Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Jules Chappaz (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Christo Lamprecht win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Qiang Wang (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Vytautas Strolia (LTU) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 202 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Brandt Snedeker win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $98 −$98 -99%
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Cooper McLeod (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Will Richard Jouve (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Edvin Anger (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Markéta Vondroušová win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $63 +$173 +276%
Will Henry Lebioda win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Jun 12 $2,660 −$2,660 -100%
Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elizaveta Golubeva (KAZ) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ramona Hardi (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: S Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Truist Championship? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will David Ford win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $10 +$230 +2203%
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Elche CF 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Jun 12 $10 −$8 -75%
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational present Jun 12 $50 −$12 -23%
Will Niko Anttola (FIN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: X Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Erin Jackson (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: S Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Daniel Brown win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $334 −$362 -108%
Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% +$40,625
politics 18% $0
culture 1% +$713
sports 1% +$4
world 0% +$4
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 5m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 6m
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 0¢ $9 22m
Marcelo Flores: 1+ goals BUY No 99¢ $78 22m
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals BUY No 81¢ $11 25m
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 26m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 28m
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 38m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 47m
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 47m
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 78¢ $19 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Marcelo Flores: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
Marcelo Flores: 1+ goals BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 15¢ $1 2h
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals BUY No 81¢ $204 2h
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 15¢ $114 2h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $8 2h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 2h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $57 2h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $48 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 400 +36.9% +23.8% 17% 14% +10.0%
≤30d 400 +36.9% +23.8% 17% 14% +10.0%
≤90d 400 +36.9% +23.8% 17% 14% +10.0%
all 400 +36.9% +23.8% 17% 14% +10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover667.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.8% 14% +10.0%
10% ← realistic here +12.0% 12% -0.5%
15% +1.2% 12% -10.1%
20% -8.8% 11% -18.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,863.12 · official $62,862.71 (match) · 3500 history records