Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5484…8ba9
crypto · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$319 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$318 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$318
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses254 / 177
Open positions1
Markets (closed)431 / 432
History coverage26d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day76.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$318
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? No 14¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 28 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 27 $5 +$13 +247%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 27 $9 +$10 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 27 $17 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 27 $6 +$18 +323%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.4% -9.9% 66% 66% -9.6%
≤30d 431 -11.3% -19.7% 59% 37% -15.6%
≤90d 431 -11.3% -19.7% 59% 37% -15.6%
all 431 -11.3% -19.7% 59% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 37% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 22% -23.7%
15% -34.4% 16% -31.1%
20% -40.9% 9% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $0.32 (match) · 2337 history records