trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 25% | 12% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 25% | 12% | -4.7% |
| all | 19 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 37% | 5% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 5% | -5.6% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 5% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 5% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 5% | -30.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 51¢ | 14¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 19 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 18 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 27 | $107 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $40 | +$23 | +57% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 21 | $42 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Dec 13 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Dec 13 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 28 | $8 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | May 10 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 01 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |