Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:04:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5495…4da9
crypto · 1620 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$2,657 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses285 / 1786
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2071 / 1620
History coverage6d
Avg bet$147
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2071 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$156
7 days−$83
14 days−$83
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+74%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+103%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$4 -704%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$11 +2252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$6 +1164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -175%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +314%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$8 +1669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$10 +1937%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +536%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$12 +2471%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -116%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +598%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -176%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -1065%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$4 +818%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +915%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$2 +386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$6 +1437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$7 +1480%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -1410%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -257%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$4 +930%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +2441%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$4 +789%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$7 +1815%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$2 +526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -877%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$4 +1010%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +2388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$9 +2284%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$6 +1130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$8 +2025%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $57 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $60 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $61 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $61 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $68 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $61 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $57 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $77 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $82 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $65 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $60 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $71 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $61 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $63 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $63 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+70.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2071 +88.6% +70.6% 14% 12% -9.2%
≤30d 2071 +88.6% +70.6% 14% 12% -9.2%
≤90d 2071 +88.6% +70.6% 14% 12% -9.2%
all 2071 +88.6% +70.6% 14% 12% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +70.6% 12% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here +54.3% 12% -17.9%
15% +39.4% 12% -25.9%
20% +25.7% 12% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.22 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records