Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:56:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54b7…54b6
crypto · 31 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses14 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)27 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +92%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$5 +249%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$5
other 3% $0
sports 3% +$5
tech 2% −$3
weather 1% −$2
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) SELL Switzerland 35¢ $2 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 53¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $10 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 37% -5.4%
≤30d 27 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 37% -5.4%
≤90d 27 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 37% -5.4%
all 27 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 37% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 37% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 30% -14.5%
15% -28.7% 22% -22.7%
20% -35.7% 19% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.56 · official $18.56 (match) · 64 history records