Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
54 0x54c0…0774 crypto 337 markets active 4d ago coverage 30d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$380 (-8%) realized −$380 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate56%190W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day59.6pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$56
14 days−$132
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$386
other 4% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -17.5% -25.3% 55% 51% -20.4%
≤30d 162 -14.9% -23.0% 57% 55% -24.2%
≤90d 337 -7.5% -16.3% 56% 55% -17.8%
all 337 -7.5% -16.3% 56% 55% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 55% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 49% -25.6%
15% -31.6% 35% -32.8%
20% -38.3% 20% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$12 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses190 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)337 / 337
History coverage30d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day59.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 337 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$10 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$9 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2150 history records