Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54c3…8822
crypto · 60 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses35 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day458.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$34 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$25 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$44 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$19 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$42 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$78 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$23 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$61 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$49 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$20 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$54 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$19 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $145 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$68 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$69 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$42 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $216 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$76 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$18 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $124 +$54 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$14 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$61 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$15 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -10.1% -18.6% 58% 43% -10.3%
≤30d 60 -10.1% -18.6% 58% 43% -10.3%
≤90d 60 -10.1% -18.6% 58% 43% -10.3%
all 60 -10.1% -18.6% 58% 43% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover458.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 43% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 30% -18.8%
15% -33.5% 25% -26.7%
20% -40.0% 15% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 478 history records