Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:33:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54dc…b301
crypto · 838 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$623 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$623 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$623
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses348 / 519
Open positions0
Markets (closed)867 / 838
History coverage47d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day66.5
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$334
7 days+$599
14 days+$881
30 days+$948
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$19 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$27 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$132 +442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$7 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $54 −$52 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$23 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$9 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$896
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $12 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 -11.4% -19.8% 36% 36% +0.3%
≤30d 720 -5.8% -14.8% 40% 40% -4.4%
≤90d 867 -8.3% -17.0% 40% 39% -6.6%
all 867 -8.3% -17.0% 40% 39% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 39% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 37% -15.5%
15% -32.2% 36% -23.7%
20% -38.9% 35% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records