trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 80% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 85% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 85% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 20 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 85% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $203 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | Jun 02 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 02 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | Jun 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 01 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | Jun 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 01 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | +1% |