trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 19 | +5.2% | -4.8% | 32% | 26% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 26% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 26% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 26% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 26% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 28 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 11 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 22 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Mar 12 | $147 | −$147 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | Mar 10 | $1,242 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 10 | $1,247 | $0 | -0% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 10 | $1,313 | −$2 | -0% |
| Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | Mar 10 | $768 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in th | Mar 10 | $712 | −$1 | -0% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 | Mar 09 | $610 | +$2 | +0% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ET | Mar 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5AM ET | Mar 01 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 6PM ET | Mar 01 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ET | Feb 27 | $14 | +$14 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 10AM ET | Feb 27 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 5PM ET | Feb 27 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12AM ET | Feb 25 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 3PM ET | Feb 10 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |