Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:35:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54f0…ac29
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses123 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)189 / 189
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day74.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$149
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$9 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$6 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$9 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$149
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $8 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 -6.3% -15.3% 65% 41% -14.9%
≤30d 189 -6.3% -15.3% 65% 41% -14.9%
≤90d 189 -6.3% -15.3% 65% 41% -14.9%
all 189 -6.3% -15.3% 65% 41% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 41% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 28% -23.0%
15% -30.8% 19% -30.4%
20% -37.6% 13% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records