Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:53:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54f6…b0f2
sports · 164 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$771 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$782 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$758
Realized+$782
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses85 / 77
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$628
Open positions2
Markets (closed)162 / 164
History coverage45d
Avg bet$302
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,362
7 days+$4,776
14 days+$4,776
30 days+$1,110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 72¢ $572 $568 −$4 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $196 $190 −$6 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $310 −$310 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $501 −$501 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $620 −$620 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $501 +$751 +150%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $464 +$528 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $503 +$730 +145%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $324 +$141 +43%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $249 +$109 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $597 +$469 +79%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +58%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $371 +$202 +54%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $307 +$244 +79%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $407 +$323 +79%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 11 $600 +$410 +68%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $197 −$135 -68%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $217 +$93 +43%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1,248 +$763 +61%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $197 +$133 +68%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $1,137 +$781 +69%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $681 −$483 -71%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $208 +$227 +109%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1,409 +$935 +66%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $501 −$501 -100%
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $695 +$212 +30%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $500 +$184 +37%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $7 $0 -0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $7 +$4 +52%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $4 +$3 +70%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $305 +$197 +64%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C Jun 07 $16 −$16 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $192 −$192 -100%
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27? Jun 07 $390 −$390 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 07 $385 −$385 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $998 +$304 +30%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $938 +$247 +26%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $643 +$309 +48%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 $0 +19%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $486 +$159 +33%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 28 $236 −$236 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 28 $455 −$455 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner May 25 $295 +$160 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score May 25 $693 −$693 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $206 +$499 +242%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 22 $366 −$294 -80%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) May 22 $397 −$397 -100%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante May 22 $499 −$499 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$1,322
other 9% −$515
crypto 0% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $199 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $577 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $992 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $6 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $495 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $727 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $505 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $2 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $501 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $463 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $465 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $500 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $324 14h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $268 28h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $329 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $249 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $8 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $572 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 64¢ $371 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $310 35h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $5 35h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 SELL Under 20¢ $63 2d
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) BUY Knicks 55¢ $407 2d
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 59¢ $274 2d
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 59¢ $326 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 61¢ $197 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $307 2d
Spread: England (-1.5) SELL England 100¢ $310 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +12.2% +1.5% 66% 66% +15.5%
≤30d 67 -2.9% -12.2% 55% 55% -5.5%
≤90d 162 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 51% -8.1%
all 162 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 51% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 51% -8.1%
10% -20.0% 49% -16.9%
15% -27.8% 42% -24.9%
20% -34.8% 33% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $757.99 · official $758.00 (match) · 642 history records