trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 38% | 25% | -41.4% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -26.6% | -33.5% | 47% | 42% | -39.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -30.1% | -36.7% | 42% | 38% | -38.9% |
| all | 26 | -30.1% | -36.7% | 42% | 38% | -38.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.7% | 38% | -38.9% |
| 10% | -42.8% | 35% | -44.7% |
| 15% | -48.3% | 31% | -50.1% |
| 20% | -53.4% | 27% | -55.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Tunisia | 61¢ | 9¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 23 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Ehime FC win on 2026-05-23? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17? | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16? | May 17 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 16 | $1 | +$2 | +197% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16? | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | May 15 | $2 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |