trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+13%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 9¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 78¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Timberwolves | 23¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 40¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Timberwolves | 21¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 24¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 65¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$5 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 04 | $5 | +$7 | +129% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $4 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 05 | $5 | +$15 | +291% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC? | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 03 | $9 | +$13 | +145% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02? | May 03 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline | May 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 01 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | May 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $5 | +$11 | +206% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $5 | +$6 | +119% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw | Apr 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $6 | +$17 | +276% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $3 | +$9 | +291% |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23? | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 19 | $10 | +$23 | +226% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 12 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 12 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-05? | Apr 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 09 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-03-31? | Mar 31 | $5 | +$26 | +525% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +103.2% | +83.8% | 100% | 100% | +70.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 50% | 50% | -26.8% |
| ≤90d | 48 | +11.7% | +1.1% | 44% | 42% | -5.3% |
| all | 48 | +11.7% | +1.1% | 44% | 42% | -5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.1% | 42% | -5.3% |
| 10% | -8.6% | 42% | -14.4% |
| 15% | -17.4% | 42% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -25.5% | 31% | -30.2% |