Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:59:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5509…accc
sports · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$122 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$234
Realized−$115
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses10 / 7
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions5
Markets (closed)17 / 22
History coverage11d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 5 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$65
14 days−$115
30 days−$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner HOTU 55¢ 93¢ $56 $94 +$38 (+68%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $58 $57 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 54¢ 100¢ $27 $50 +$23 (+86%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 55¢ 100¢ $18 $33 +$15 (+82%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 35¢ $81 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 36¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner 1WIN 55¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Anna Kalinskaya 20¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 20¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 25¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $53 −$52 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$57 +112%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $124 −$42 -34%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $92 +$1 +2%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $48 −$34 -71%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $11 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $12 +$3 +20%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $10 +$2 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $10 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 +$9 +74%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $17 −$16 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $11 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $21 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $10 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $31 −$7 -24%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $28 −$28 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$83
other 40% −$36
crypto 7% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 57¢ $9 33m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 47¢ $9 38m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 40¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 40¢ $3 40m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 43¢ $2 40m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 68¢ $9 45m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 59¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY HOTU 61¢ $18 47m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G $5 55m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 31¢ $9 57m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 63¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 51¢ $14 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 50¢ $14 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 46¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 43¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $18 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $18 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 37¢ $28 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $59 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $46 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $14 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $78 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $111 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $83 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $83 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $9 3d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL NRG 33¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -17.0% -24.9% 62% 38% -28.4%
≤30d 17 -23.2% -30.5% 59% 35% -33.2%
≤90d 17 -23.2% -30.5% 59% 35% -33.2%
all 17 -23.2% -30.5% 59% 35% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.5% 35% -33.2%
10% -37.2% 12% -39.6%
15% -43.2% 12% -45.4%
20% -48.8% 12% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $233.77 · official $233.77 (match) · 77 history records