Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T18:57:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x5518…5451 crypto 1645 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$419 (-2%) realized −$419 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate85%1390W / 254L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day65.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$19
14 days−$520
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 204 +3.1% -6.7% 75% 40% -9.7%
≤30d 1629 +0.7% -8.9% 85% 42% -9.4%
≤90d 1644 +0.7% -8.9% 85% 42% -9.4%
all 1644 +0.7% -8.9% 85% 42% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 42% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 12% -18.1%
15% -25.6% 4% -26.0%
20% -32.9% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$10 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$419
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1390 / 254
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1644 / 1645
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1644 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 20 $25 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $13 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$9 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $24 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$4 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $45 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $25 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$5 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$19 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $14 +$21 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $44 −$15 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 19 $41 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $41 +$10 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$10 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$15 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $13 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $38 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $10 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $24 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $13 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $24 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $19 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.60 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records