trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 60% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 60% | 0% | -8.5% |
| all | 26 | +8.8% | -1.5% | 62% | 12% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.5% | 12% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -10.9% | 8% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -19.5% | 8% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -27.4% | 8% | -31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 16 | $5 | +$5 | +103% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 09 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and | Jun 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 15 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 12 | $13 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 10 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jun 10 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 07 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the elec | Jun 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $19 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Sharks vs. Sabres | Mar 06 | $17 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Charleston vs. Northeastern | Mar 03 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |