Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x554a…9ecd
crypto · 488 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$261 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$261 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$261
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses251 / 237
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)488 / 488
History coverage151d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$22
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$5 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$71
other 16% −$87
politics 5% −$44
world 5% −$30
sports 5% +$19
tech 3% −$13
economics 2% −$2
culture 2% −$16
finance 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -1.0% -10.4% 72% 72% -10.6%
≤30d 288 -6.0% -14.9% 71% 44% -15.0%
≤90d 487 -11.6% -20.0% 52% 35% -18.3%
all 488 -11.6% -20.0% 51% 35% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.0% 35% -18.3%
10% -27.7% 22% -26.1%
15% -34.7% 14% -33.3%
20% -41.1% 10% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1065 history records