Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T10:28:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x5555…5a4e crypto 241 markets active 5h ago coverage 15d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$157 (+8%) realized +$157 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate53%128W / 113L
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day32.6pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$13
14 days+$97
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 44% +$58
sports 33% +$25
crypto 22% +$31
world 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -6.3% -15.3% 69% 27% -8.6%
≤30d 241 -5.3% -14.3% 53% 30% -4.5%
≤90d 241 -5.3% -14.3% 53% 30% -4.5%
all 241 -5.3% -14.3% 53% 30% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 30% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 22% -13.6%
15% -30.0% 19% -21.9%
20% -36.9% 13% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +6% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.23 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.4 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses128 / 113
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage15d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 241 Trades
no open positions (47 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +22%
Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw? Jun 28 $1 $0 +1%
Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw? Jun 28 $1 +$1 +99%
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? Jun 28 $6 $0 +2%
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 28 $11 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina? Jun 28 $1 $0 +4%
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $1 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina? Jun 28 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina? Jun 28 $2 $0 +7%
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 28 $11 +$1 +12%
Algeria to win the second half? Jun 28 $7 −$7 -99%
Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $2 −$2 -97%
DR Congo to win the second half? Jun 28 $1 $0 +28%
Uzbekistan leading at halftime? Jun 28 $2 $0 +3%
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 28 $8 $0 +6%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 28 $26 $0 -0%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 28 $7 −$5 -76%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 28 $1 $0 +4%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 28 $11 −$5 -43%
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Jun 28 $5 $0 +8%
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 28 $21 $0 -1%
Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $1 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana? Jun 27 $1 $0 +10%
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 27 $1 +$1 +53%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $2 +$1 +39%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $3 $0 -0%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 27 $11 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana? Jun 27 $10 +$1 +11%
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $16 $0 +2%
Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $12 +$10 +83%
Panama vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 27 $2 −$1 -49%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 27 $1 $0 -0%
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $106 +$6 +5%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Second half draw? Jun 27 $2 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1 $0 +11%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 27 $1 +$1 +66%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $2 $0 +1%
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium? Jun 27 $2 $0 +1%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime? Jun 27 $11 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -99%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 27 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $2 $0 -0%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $4 $0 +1%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 27 $6 $0 +2%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $20 +$2 +10%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime? Jun 27 $24 +$1 +4%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Second half draw? Jun 27 $31 +$1 +2%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 27 $2 −$1 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Algeria to win the second half? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 6h
Algeria to win the second half? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 6h
Algeria to win the second half? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 6h
Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 6h
Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 23¢ $2 6h
Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 6h
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 88¢ $10 7h
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 93¢ $1 7h
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 7h
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 7h
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 7h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 99¢ $10 7h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 99¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina? BUY No 90¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina? BUY No 92¢ $2 8h
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina? BUY No 95¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 8h
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 90¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 9h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 100¢ $10 9h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 100¢ $10 9h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 100¢ $1 9h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 9h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 95¢ $1 9h
DR Congo to win the second half? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 567 history records