Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:53:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5581…2c2b
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage27d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 55¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -62%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 18 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 18 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 18 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 18 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 18 $16 −$7 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$6
other 16% −$3
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -53.3% -57.7% 0% 0% -62.0%
≤30d 7 -19.6% -27.3% 29% 14% -40.1%
≤90d 7 -19.6% -27.3% 29% 14% -40.1%
all 7 -19.6% -27.3% 29% 14% -40.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.3% 14% -40.1%
10% -34.2% 0% -45.8%
15% -40.6% 0% -51.0%
20% -46.4% 0% -55.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.87 · official $1.87 (match) · 22 history records