trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -99.1% | -99.2% | 0% | 0% | -98.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +8.5% | -1.8% | 53% | 42% | +11.3% |
| all | 19 | +8.5% | -1.8% | 53% | 42% | +11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -1.8% | 42% | +11.3% |
| 10% | -11.2% | 37% | +0.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -19.8% | 37% | -9.1% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 32% | -18.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump kiss by May 31? | May 23 | $7,207 | −$5,723 | -79% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week | May 20 | $116 | −$112 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 | May 11 | $250 | +$250 | +100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $369 | +$202 | +55% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 11 | $661 | +$32 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 10 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $6,074 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 09 | $221 | +$171 | +77% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $4,700 | +$5,300 | +113% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 08 | $154 | +$8 | +5% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | May 05 | $1,750 | −$750 | -43% |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $1,790 | +$1,207 | +67% |
| Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $579 | −$398 | -69% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 02 | $167 | +$83 | +50% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 30 | $288 | −$259 | -90% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 30 | $10,263 | +$8,537 | +83% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 29 | $1,679 | +$179 | +11% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 29 | $2,070 | −$71 | -3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 27 | $600 | $0 | +0% |