Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x5594…b390 crypto 134 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2226 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,445 (-28%) realized −$4,445 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -51% what you keep after slip
Net edge-51%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate22%40W / 139L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$121per market
Trades / day2226.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$744
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2226 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-42.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -36.5% -42.5% 22% 8% -27.6%
≤30d 179 -36.5% -42.5% 22% 8% -27.6%
≤90d 179 -36.5% -42.5% 22% 8% -27.6%
all 179 -36.5% -42.5% 22% 8% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2226.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.5% 8% -27.6%
10% ← realistic here -48.0% 3% -34.5%
15% -53.0% 2% -40.8%
20% -57.6% 2% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -36% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -57% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
25.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$24 vs −$35 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses40 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)179 / 134
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$121
Trades / day2226.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 179 Trades
no open positions (57 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $298 −$298 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $337 −$337 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $327 −$327 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $190 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $165 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $262 +$38 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $212 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $261 +$14 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records