trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 19% | 14% | -15.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 19% | 14% | -15.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 19% | 14% | -15.7% |
| all | 21 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 19% | 14% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.0% | 14% | -15.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.1% | 14% | -23.7% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 14% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 14% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $84 | $29 | −$55 (-65%) |
| Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 41¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $12 | −$9 (-43%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France? | Jun 26 | $12 | +$38 | +326% |
| Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France? | Jun 26 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $22 | −$4 | -19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 26 | $16 | −$5 | -34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 26 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 26 | $42 | −$16 | -39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 26 | $11 | −$6 | -61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Jun 26 | $21 | −$14 | -66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 26 | $5 | −$1 | -26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -87% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Jun 26 | $21 | −$20 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $59 | +$98 | +167% |
| Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 25 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Jun 25 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 24 | $138 | −$22 | -16% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Jun 24 | $129 | −$26 | -20% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 24 | $139 | $0 | -0% |