Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55a3…cc53
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$33
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses27 / 43
Open positions1
Markets (closed)70 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day151.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 52¢ 50¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$20 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$11 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$20 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$13 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$34 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$10 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$16 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 36% -13.0%
≤30d 70 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 36% -13.0%
≤90d 70 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 36% -13.0%
all 70 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 36% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 36% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 34% -21.4%
15% -42.1% 33% -29.0%
20% -47.8% 30% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.42 · official $19.42 (match) · 173 history records