Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:54:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x55a4…f0d7 crypto 281 markets active 6d ago coverage 46d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$590 (-25%) realized −$590 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate28%80W / 201L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day6.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$149
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$625
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -20.9% -28.4% 31% 31% -27.5%
≤30d 152 -20.9% -28.4% 31% 31% -27.5%
≤90d 281 -26.3% -33.3% 28% 28% -34.0%
all 281 -26.3% -33.3% 28% 28% -34.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.3% 28% -34.0%
10% -39.7% 28% -40.3%
15% -45.5% 28% -46.1%
20% -50.8% 28% -51.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -27% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -27% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -33% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$8 · ×1.58 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$590
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses80 / 201
Open positions0
Markets (closed)281 / 281
History coverage46d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 281 Trades
no open positions (201 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +146%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +181%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$9 +166%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$8 +159%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 392 history records