Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55d8…de7e
crypto · 1242 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,775 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,775 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses771 / 855
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1626 / 1242
History coverage26d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day71.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,693
7 days−$1,705
14 days−$1,705
30 days−$1,775
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 50¢ 60¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 702 -58.5% -62.5% 25% 25% -86.7%
≤30d 1626 -30.0% -36.7% 47% 19% -41.0%
≤90d 1626 -30.0% -36.7% 47% 19% -41.0%
all 1626 -30.0% -36.7% 47% 19% -41.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.7% 19% -41.0%
10% ← realistic here -42.7% 16% -46.7%
15% -48.3% 8% -51.8%
20% -53.3% 3% -56.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.59 · official $0.49 (match) · 3500 history records