Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:04:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55e0…1141
crypto · 987 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38,484 -92%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,395 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$5,395
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses383 / 751
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1134 / 987
History coverage24d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day125.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,099
7 days−$2,631
14 days−$2,583
30 days−$5,395
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 60¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18? Up 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$199 +7447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$50 +112112%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$10 -964%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$12 -118%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$55 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$57 +2852%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$452
other 2% −$150
sports 1% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $137 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $53 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $53 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $77 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $52 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $148 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $53 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 +10.9% +0.3% 25% 23% -28.3%
≤30d 1134 +8.9% -1.5% 34% 31% -21.7%
≤90d 1134 +8.9% -1.5% 34% 31% -21.7%
all 1134 +8.9% -1.5% 34% 31% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.5% 31% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.9% 28% -29.2%
15% -19.5% 26% -36.0%
20% -27.4% 23% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.92 · official $9.58 (match) · 3500 history records