Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55e3…b78f
crypto · 69 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,007 -91%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,006 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$1,006
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 65
Open positions4
Markets (closed)65 / 69
History coverage133d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $80 $80 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 6? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 26? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 18? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 5? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 20? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 21? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28? May 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? Mar 20 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? Mar 18 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 18? Mar 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13? Mar 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 12? Mar 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 12? Mar 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 11? Mar 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 10? Mar 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 10? Mar 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 9? Mar 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 7? Mar 07 $48 −$48 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6? Mar 06 $53 −$53 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6? Mar 06 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6? Mar 06 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5? Mar 05 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 3? Mar 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2? Mar 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 28? Feb 28 $7 −$7 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27? Feb 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27? Feb 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 26? Feb 26 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 26? Feb 26 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 25? Feb 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24? Feb 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 22? Feb 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 21? Feb 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 20? Feb 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18? Feb 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18? Feb 18 $3 −$2 -67%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 17? Feb 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 17? Feb 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 14? Feb 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 14? Feb 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 13? Feb 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12? Feb 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? Feb 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 11? Feb 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 11? Feb 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 11? Feb 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 10? Feb 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 10? Feb 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 9? Feb 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 8? Feb 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 8? Feb 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 7? Feb 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7? Feb 06 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6? Feb 05 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? Feb 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6? Feb 05 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$1,006
other 9% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $82 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 85d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 85d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 85d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $8 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $8 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18? BUY Yes 7¢ $8 86d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-99.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 65 -99.5% -99.6% 0% 0% -99.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -99.6% 0% -99.9%
10% -99.6% 0% -99.9%
15% -99.7% 0% -99.9%
20% -99.7% 0% -99.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.26 · official $99.26 (match) · 597 history records