Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:05:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55ef…1156
crypto · 570 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$295 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$292 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$292
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses334 / 218
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions28
Markets (closed)552 / 570
History coverage128d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 28 History 552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$0
14 days+$19
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 88¢ 94¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 80¢ 94¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+16%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 86¢ 79¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-8%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 71¢ 78¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes 87¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+12%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 89¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Netherlands finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 95¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 87¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 78¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-57%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 93¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 72¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legisla Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$6 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +9%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$11 +274%
Critical Discord Incident by May 31? Jun 02 $3 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$294
other 1% +$7
sports 1% −$5
tech 1% +$5
world 0% +$1
finance 0% +$2
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 25h
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 25h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 25h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -16.7% -24.6% 59% 38% -9.8%
≤30d 75 -6.2% -15.1% 65% 43% -9.2%
≤90d 155 -10.5% -19.1% 63% 37% -16.8%
all 552 -10.2% -18.8% 61% 32% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 32% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 16% -22.5%
15% -33.6% 10% -30.0%
20% -40.1% 5% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.34 · official $86.34 (match) · 3500 history records