Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:35:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55f1…d323
crypto · 921 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,150 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,150 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses648 / 270
Open positions3
Markets (closed)918 / 921
History coverage83d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 918 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$474
14 days−$484
30 days−$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+49%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 07 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 07 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $105 +$57 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 07 $106 −$105 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $103 −$102 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 07 $104 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 06 $111 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 06 $111 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $105 −$99 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $103 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $107 +$14 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 05 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 05 $102 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 05 $101 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 04 $111 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 04 $105 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 04 $208 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 03 $104 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $105 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 03 $103 +$12 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 03 $106 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 03 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,162
other 0% +$16
weather 0% −$3
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $5 5d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $151 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $153 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $105 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -11.7% -20.1% 69% 50% -35.8%
≤30d 303 +2.9% -6.9% 75% 44% -11.9%
≤90d 918 -7.1% -15.9% 71% 38% -11.3%
all 918 -7.1% -15.9% 71% 38% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 38% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 22% -19.8%
15% -31.3% 15% -27.5%
20% -38.0% 10% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.56 · official $9.56 (match) · 3252 history records