Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:08:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55f6…1591
crypto · 6 markets active 10d ago
6.0score
+$20,017 +244%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,017 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$20,017
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,367
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$20,093
14 days+$20,017
30 days+$20,017
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $1,035 +$3,337 +322%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $7,050 +$16,756 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 02 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $26 −$25 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% +$20,093
crypto 1% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 9d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $85 9d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $7,050 10d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1,035 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +280.0% +243.8% 100% 100% +215.3%
≤30d 6 +49.4% +35.1% 50% 50% +211.5%
≤90d 6 +49.4% +35.1% 50% 50% +211.5%
all 6 +49.4% +35.1% 50% 50% +211.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +35.1% 50% +211.5%
10% +22.2% 50% +181.6%
15% +10.4% 50% +154.4%
20% -0.4% 33% +129.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records