Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T09:20:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x55f8…baed crypto 388 markets active 2h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (181 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$2,034 (+62%) realized +$2,034 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -1% what you keep after slip
Net edge-1%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate51%198W / 190L
Drawdown12%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day180.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days+$571
14 days+$1,629
30 days+$1,682
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,680
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (181 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +20.5% +9.1% 42% 41% +34.8%
≤30d 388 +28.9% +16.7% 51% 50% +36.7%
≤90d 388 +28.9% +16.7% 51% 50% +36.7%
all 388 +28.9% +16.7% 51% 50% +36.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover180.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.7% 50% +36.7%
10% ← realistic here +5.5% 48% +23.6%
15% -4.7% 45% +11.7%
20% -14.0% 42% +0.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +51% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +29% · $-wt +51% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late +25% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$8 · ×2.08 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.17 per $1 lost it wins $2.17
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,034
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses198 / 190
Open positions0
Markets (closed)388 / 388
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day180.9
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 388 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $12 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 29 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 29 $23 −$14 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 29 $31 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 29 $12 +$24 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 29 $6 +$11 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 29 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 29 $9 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 29 $6 +$14 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$3 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$6 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $4 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 +$4 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$8 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$4 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records