trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.7% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 91% | 27% | -17.3% |
| all | 14 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 93% | 21% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.2% | 21% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -15.2% | 14% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 14% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -30.9% | 7% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $129 | $129 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Jun 02 | $84 | +$1 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $181 | +$133 | +73% |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | May 15 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $1,866 | −$1,861 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi | Apr 21 | $1,531 | +$334 | +22% |
| Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | Apr 11 | $976 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 04 | $1,036 | +$495 | +48% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Apr 04 | $1,035 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 03 | $984 | +$50 | +5% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 02 | $980 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Apr 01 | $979 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 26 | $965 | +$14 | +1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamen | Mar 23 | $963 | +$2 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nets | Mar 17 | $962 | +$1 | +0% |