Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5614…a138
crypto · 371 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses265 / 106
Open positions0
Markets (closed)371 / 371
History coverage6d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day574.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$58
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $73 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $44 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $63 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 371 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 3% -10.0%
≤30d 371 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 3% -10.0%
≤90d 371 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 3% -10.0%
all 371 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 3% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover574.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 3% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 1% -18.6%
15% -27.6% 1% -26.4%
20% -34.7% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records