trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 44% | 40% | -13.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 44% | 40% | -13.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 44% | 40% | -13.1% |
| all | 25 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 44% | 40% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.9% | 40% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -30.3% | 40% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -37.0% | 32% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -43.2% | 28% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 55¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$2 | +93% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +262% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 14 | $4 | +$8 | +192% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +60% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +109% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |