trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 25% | 25% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 25% | 25% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 25% | 25% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | -6.1% | -15.1% | 17% | 4% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 4% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 09 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Sep 17 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 17 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 17 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 17 | $4 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Sep 16 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September? | Sep 15 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? | Sep 15 | $3 | −$2 | -77% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September? | Sep 14 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 14 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | Sep 13 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Sep 08 | $36 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Sep 02 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 02 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 02 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Sep 02 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August? | Aug 29 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31? | Aug 28 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in August? | Aug 28 | $36 | $0 | +0% |