trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 21 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 29% | 14% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.9% | 14% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -14.0% | 14% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -22.3% | 5% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 5% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $28 | $27 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $13 | −$1 | -9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 11 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Dec 11 | $40 | +$10 | +25% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 26 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $161 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Nov 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Hornets | Nov 24 | $25 | +$17 | +70% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 21 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 21 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 02 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | Oct 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 01 | $26 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Oct 01 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 30 | $25 | $0 | +0% |