Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:48:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
56 0x5630…a29b crypto 186 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$48 (-0%) realized −$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate28%53W / 133L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day234.3pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 14d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$1,032
other 1% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 185 -28.3% -35.1% 28% 23% -19.8%
≤30d 186 -28.0% -34.8% 28% 23% -19.0%
≤90d 186 -28.0% -34.8% 28% 23% -19.0%
all 186 -28.0% -34.8% 28% 23% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 23% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -41.1% 17% -26.7%
15% -46.8% 13% -33.8%
20% -52.0% 10% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -36% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$14 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses53 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 186
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$58
Trades / day234.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 186 Trades
no open positions (61 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $58 −$26 -46%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $44 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$4 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$6 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$4 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $44 +$38 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $109 −$4 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $182 −$45 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $138 −$22 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $308 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $246 −$19 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $253 −$31 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $62 +$59 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $57 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $102 −$16 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$19 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$6 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $180 −$73 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $111 −$50 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $86 −$44 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$18 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $274 −$30 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $183 −$20 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$14 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$27 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $221 −$16 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$2 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$8 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $234 +$10 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$31 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$6 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $143 −$24 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$6 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $80 −$3 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$2 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $273 −$30 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $158 −$27 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $235 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $60 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$11 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $175 −$2 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $38 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $14 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $73 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $19 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $12 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.39 · official $0.00 · 3457 history records