trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 21 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 52% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $63 | +$1 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 24 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday? | May 08 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | May 07 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Elect | May 07 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |