Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5653…5d7f
crypto · 130 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$36 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses75 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)130 / 130
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$53
14 days+$47
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +128%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 +4.4% -5.5% 58% 58% -3.4%
≤30d 130 +2.3% -7.4% 58% 58% -5.7%
≤90d 130 +2.3% -7.4% 58% 58% -5.7%
all 130 +2.3% -7.4% 58% 58% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 58% -5.7%
10% -16.3% 58% -14.7%
15% -24.4% 52% -23.0%
20% -31.8% 44% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 213 history records