Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x565f…cb2d
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$346 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$346 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$346
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses9 / 4
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day37.0
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$346
7 days+$346
14 days+$346
30 days+$346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$34 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$28 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +42%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $110 +$320 +291%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$26
sports 14% +$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $34 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $35 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $44 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $36 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $86 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +26.4% +14.3% 69% 54% +35.2%
≤30d 13 +26.4% +14.3% 69% 54% +35.2%
≤90d 13 +26.4% +14.3% 69% 54% +35.2%
all 13 +26.4% +14.3% 69% 54% +35.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.3% 54% +35.2%
10% ← realistic here +3.4% 38% +22.3%
15% -6.6% 31% +10.5%
20% -15.8% 23% -0.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 37 history records