Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:53:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5672…7312
sports · 233 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44,343 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43,962 · open −$381
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,458
Realized−$43,962
Unrealized−$381
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses127 / 211
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$1,889
Open positions15
Markets (closed)338 / 233
Avg bet$684
Trades / day428.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51,706
7 days−$45,876
14 days−$43,962
30 days−$43,962
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 44¢ 38¢ $1,755 $1,506 −$249 (-14%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ 100¢ $699 $1,218 +$519 (+74%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage ex-RUBY 81¢ 100¢ $687 $851 +$164 (+24%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ 62¢ $729 $815 +$86 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 61¢ 55¢ $296 $265 −$30 (-10%)
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 57¢ 100¢ $144 $252 +$108 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 85¢ 98¢ $206 $239 +$34 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 20¢ 46¢ $49 $111 +$62 (+126%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 38¢ 20¢ $165 $89 −$77 (-46%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 53¢ 100¢ $26 $50 +$23 (+89%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner FURIA 71¢ 100¢ $34 $47 +$14 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 49¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$5 (+104%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 30¢ 2¢ $30 $3 −$27 (-92%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 60¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 34¢ 2¢ $7 $0 −$6 (-96%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 26¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 38¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 33¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner G2 Ares 39¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner FALKE Esports 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 12 $69 −$61 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $497 −$497 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $259 −$259 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 12 $82 +$74 +90%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $693 −$693 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 12 $1,323 −$1,323 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $540 −$540 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 12 $920 −$920 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $465 −$465 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $887 −$887 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $1,286 −$1,286 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1,222 −$1,222 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1,900 −$1,900 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,340 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $978 −$978 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $126 −$120 -96%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $38 +$168 +440%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $238 −$234 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $828 −$828 -100%
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 12 $758 −$758 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 12 $1,280 −$1,280 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics Jun 12 $866 −$866 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $471 −$471 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger Ch Jun 12 $1,390 −$1,390 -100%
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $1,045 −$1,045 -100%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $33 −$19 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$8,286
other 0% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $6 4m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $53 4m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $6 4m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $16 4m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $249 27m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $109 27m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 88¢ $38 34m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 22¢ $4 34m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 31¢ $26 37m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 84¢ $169 37m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 60¢ $57 48m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 15¢ $23 48m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 40¢ $204 56m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 25¢ $49 56m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $13 56m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $31 56m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 34¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 49¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 26¢ $69 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $64 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 28¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 71¢ $34 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $14 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $52 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 81¢ $81 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Ares 41¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 62¢ $42 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 38¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Ares 32¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-35.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 -30.9% -37.4% 37% 29% -29.5%
≤30d 338 -28.6% -35.4% 38% 30% -28.6%
≤90d 338 -28.6% -35.4% 38% 30% -28.6%
all 338 -28.6% -35.4% 38% 30% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover428.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.4% 30% -28.6%
10% -41.6% 24% -35.5%
15% ← realistic here -47.2% 19% -41.7%
20% -52.4% 13% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,457.93 · official $5,457.93 (match) · 3500 history records