Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:23:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
56 0x5685…061b crypto 243 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (105 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,403 (-21%) realized −$2,403 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -45% what you keep after slip
Net edge-45%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate37%91W / 152L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day104.6pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,541
7 days−$2,953
14 days−$2,922
30 days−$2,922
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$2,711
other 5% −$273
sports 2% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (105 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -30.6% -37.2% 36% 30% -35.9%
≤30d 243 -28.2% -35.1% 37% 33% -33.3%
≤90d 243 -28.2% -35.1% 37% 33% -33.3%
all 243 -28.2% -35.1% 37% 33% -33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover104.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.1% 33% -33.3%
10% ← realistic here -41.3% 30% -39.7%
15% -46.9% 24% -45.5%
20% -52.1% 20% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -25% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$34 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses91 / 152
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)243 / 243
History coverage8d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day104.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 243 Trades
no open positions (99 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET Jun 20 $136 −$130 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $83 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$12 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 20 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 20 $310 −$143 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$6 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $259 −$259 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $37 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 20 $42 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $101 +$55 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $47 +$26 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 19 $62 +$43 +70%
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $101 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 19 $135 +$176 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $130 −$101 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 19 $87 +$31 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $93 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 19 $73 +$71 +98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $202 +$53 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $83 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $26 +$45 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $73 +$23 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $93 +$23 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 19 $63 −$54 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $52 +$40 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 19 $62 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $41 +$4 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 900 history records